📝 Review:On Tuesday, the dollar index fell nearly 0.50% in Asian and European trading, breaking below the 98 mark, as Trump's announcement of a ceasefire between Iran and Israel dampened safe-haven buying. It later rebounded slightly after Powell hinted that he would resist calls for a July rate cut, ultimately closing down 0.40% at 97.96. The benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield closed at 4.2960%, while the 2-year yield closed at 3.8310%.

USD/JPY 144.802  Sell  Target Price  143.569

📝 Review:Due to the Israel ceasefire dampening risk aversion sentiment, and Powell stating that more time is needed before considering interest rate cuts, spot gold once fell below the $3,310 mark, ultimately closing down 1.67% at $3,322.82 per ounce; spot silver closed down 0.46% at $35.90 per ounce.

Gold 3323.62  Sell  Target Price  3271.92

📝 Review:Oil prices fell 6% to a two-week low as market expectations of an Israel-Iran ceasefire reduced the risk of Middle East oil supply disruptions. WTI crude oil briefly fell below $64 per barrel during the session, ultimately closing down 3.35% at $64.96 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed down 3.7% at $67.73 per barrel.

WTI Crude Oil 64.727  Sell  Target Price  62.113

📝 Review:The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 1.2%, the S&P 500 gained 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.4%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 2.5%, Circle (CRCL.K) fell more than 15%, and Intel (INTC.O) surged 6.4%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index climbed 3.3%, New Oriental (EDU.N) jumped 13%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) rose over 3%.

Nasdaq 100 22182.650  Buy  Target Price  22381.627

📝 Review:From the perspective of technical analysis and the essence of capital games, the current so-called "strong bullish" phenomenon may be a typical trap where short sellers exchange chips at high levels. The 4-hour 233 moving average serves as a key resistance level in the downtrend channel (Bitcoin at 105,800 points, Ethereum at 2,450 points). A valid breakout requires trading volume to exceed 1.5 times the 20-day average, closing prices to stabilize above the moving average for three consecutive K-lines, and the RSI indicator to break through the oversold threshold of 55. In the actual trend, Bitcoin's trading volume after falling below the moving average was only 78% of the average, while Ethereum's was even less than 70%. Exhaustion of trading volume may occur at any time, and next, major funds may lure retail investors into taking over positions through narrow-range fluctuations. Everyone should stay vigilant.

BitCoin 105825.9  Buy  Target Price  108369.6