Hot spot tracking
- Amid the US's tough trade stance, the EU is preparing retaliation plans. Previously, Trump escalated pressure on the EU: minimum tariffs could rise to 15%-20%. This news is bearish for the dollar.
- The European Union has approved the 18th round of sanctions against Russia, which primarily target the "core of Russia's war machine," including the banking, energy, and military-industrial sectors, as well as a new dynamic oil price cap mechanism. This news is bullish for crude oil.
- The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rose slightly by about 1 point to 61.8 in July, hitting a five-month high; consumers' expectations for price increases over the next year fell to 4.4%, the lowest since February. This news is bearish for the dollar.
Product Hot Comment
Forex
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open EUR/USD ▲0.21% 1.16219 1.16334 GBP/USD ▼-0.03% 1.34132 1.34204 AUD/USD ▲0.32% 0.65064 0.65143 USD/JPY ▲0.12% 148.738 148.195 GBP/CAD ▼-0.18% 1.84092 1.83927 NZD/CAD ▲0.30% 0.818 0.8186 📝 Review:Last Friday, influenced by dovish remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Waller and cooling consumer inflation expectations, the dollar index retreated, ultimately closing down 0.155% at 98.46. U.S. Treasury yields fell across the board, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.423% and the 2-year Treasury yield at 3.88%.🕵️ Operation suggestion:USD/JPY 148.274 Buy Target Price 149.191
Gold
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open Gold ▲0.23% 3348.19 3349.4 Silver ▼-0.09% 38.106 38.164 📝 Review:Spot gold rose due to the weakening of the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields, hitting a high of $3,361.2 per ounce, and finally closed up 0.34% at $3,350.4 per ounce; spot silver rose for three consecutive days, finally closing up 0.14% at $38.2 per ounce.🕵️ Operation suggestion:Gold 3350.03 Buy Target Price 3376.07
Crude Oil
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open WTI Crude Oil ▼-0.44% 65.987 65.89 Brent Crude Oil ▼-0.41% 68.586 68.676 📝 Review:As the market digested the EU's new round of sanctions on Russian energy, international oil prices experienced a V-shaped reversal. WTI crude oil briefly surpassed the $67 mark during the session, rising about 2% intraday before giving up all gains and closing down 0.47% at $66 per barrel. Brent crude oil closed down 0.45% at $68.59 per barrel.🕵️ Operation suggestion:WTI Crude Oil 65.961 Sell Target Price 64.439
Indice
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open Nasdaq 100 ▼-0.15% 23056.1 23063.85 Dow Jones ▼-0.45% 44328.3 44317.1 S&P 500 ▼-0.14% 6294.75 6296.15 US Dollar Index ▼-0.02% 98.2 98.08 📝 Review:The three major U.S. stock indices were mixed, with the Dow down 0.32%, the S&P 500 slightly down, and the Nasdaq up 0.05%. Crypto-related stocks were mixed, with Robinhood (HOOD.O) up 4.07%, Coinbase (COIN.O) up 2.2%, Circle (CRCL.N) down 4.71%, and Hut 8 (HUT.O) down 2.26%. 3M (MMM.N) fell 3.63%, and Netflix (NFLX.O) dropped 5.10%.🕵️ Operation suggestion:Nasdaq 100 23097.950 Buy Target Price 23148.895
Crypto
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open BitCoin ▲0.21% 118025.2 117935.4 Ethereum ▲4.12% 3737.6 3768.1 Dogecoin ▲12.21% 0.27034 0.27165 📝 Review:Bitcoin continued its technical rebound last night. As of 16:00 on July 21, the price recovered to around $118,800, up approximately 2.7% from the low of $115,600 on the 16th, with a 24-hour increase of 1.8%. Technically, Bitcoin has stabilized above the key support level of $118,000, with the middle Bollinger Band moving up to $116,500. The RSI rebounded from the oversold zone to 52, and the MACD histogram contracted, indicating short-term recovery demand. However, the strong resistance at $123,300 remains unbroken. On-chain data shows that the net outflow from exchanges has exceeded 12,000 BTC for eight consecutive days, with no change in the supply tightening characteristics. On the news front, the U.S. House of Representatives passed the GENIUS Act and sent it to Trump for signing, clarifying that stablecoins must be 100% backed by U.S. dollars or Treasury bonds, providing policy certainty to the market. However, the CLARITY Act was blocked due to intra-party disagreements, cooling expectations for the regulatory framework's implementation. Bitcoin spot ETFs continued to see inflows, with a single-day inflow of $118 million on July 20, significantly contributed by BlackRock's IBIT. However, Grayscale's GBTC and others experienced net outflows, reflecting divided market sentiment. Overall, Bitcoin is oscillating between policy tailwinds and technical adjustment needs, with attention required on the breakthrough of the $123,300 resistance and the effectiveness of the $116,900 support.🕵️ Operation suggestion:BitCoin 116782.3 Sell Target Price 115248.5
Calendar
- 20:00 (GMT+8): Canada's National Economic Confidence Index for the week ending July 18
- 22:00 (GMT+8): US Conference Board Leading Indicators MoM for June
- 23:30 (GMT+8): US 6-month Treasury auction on July 21 - total amount
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