Hot spot tracking
- Powell avoided giving guidance on a September rate cut, stating that the current monetary policy stance is in a favorable position, emphasizing that the inflation target is more distant than employment and relying on data, with a reasonable speculation that the impact of tariffs on inflation is temporary. This news is negative for the dollar.
- The August 1 deadline will not be extended. Starting from August 1, India will pay a 25% tariff and will be fined for purchasing military equipment and energy from Russia. This news is bullish for crude oil.
- Trump announced that starting August 1st, a 50% tariff will be imposed on imported semi-finished copper products, but the measure does not include copper ore or cathode copper. This news is bearish for copper prices.
Product Hot Comment
Forex
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open EUR/USD ▼-1.23% 1.14051 1.14074 GBP/USD ▼-0.88% 1.32354 1.32354 AUD/USD ▼-1.22% 0.64327 0.64364 USD/JPY ▲0.70% 149.499 149.467 GBP/CAD ▼-0.32% 1.8304 1.82929 NZD/CAD ▼-0.59% 0.81495 0.81508 📝 Review:On Wednesday, due to strong U.S. economic data and Powell's insistence on a wait-and-see stance, the U.S. dollar index rose for the fifth consecutive trading day, approaching the 100 mark, and finally closed up 1.04% at 99.92, hitting a new high in more than two months. U.S. Treasury yields rose across the board, with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield closing at 4.379% and the 2-year Treasury yield closing at 3.951%.🕵️ Operation suggestion:USD/JPY 148.888 Sell Target Price 148.366
Gold
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open Gold ▼-1.56% 3274.93 3275.66 Silver ▼-2.85% 37.106 37.121 📝 Review:Spot gold returned to a downward trend, once falling below the $3,270 mark, rebounding slightly in late trading, and finally closing down 1.55% at $3,274.85 per ounce, marking the largest single-day drop in over a month; spot silver followed gold lower, ultimately closing down 2.8% at $37.11 per ounce.🕵️ Operation suggestion:Gold 3295.37 Buy Target Price 3318.39
Crude Oil
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open WTI Crude Oil ▲1.32% 69.791 69.794 Brent Crude Oil ▲1.19% 72.579 72.585 📝 Review:As investors focused on Trump's more urgent ultimatum to Russia and his tariff threats against oil-trading nations, international crude oil rose for three consecutive days. WTI crude oil hit the $70 mark during the session, ultimately closing up 1.32% at $69.79 per barrel; Brent crude oil closed up 1.18% at $72.6 per barrel.🕵️ Operation suggestion:WTI Crude Oil 69.364 Buy Target Price 72.051
Indice
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open Nasdaq 100 ▲0.88% 23529.25 23565.35 Dow Jones ▼-0.12% 44561.6 44518.8 S&P 500 ▲0.40% 6399.25 6404.55 US Dollar Index ▲1.05% 99.64 99.5 📝 Review:The three major U.S. stock indices were mixed, with the Dow down 0.36%, the S&P 500 down 0.12%, and the Nasdaq up 0.15%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose 2%, Circle (CRCL.N) rose 5%, and Novo Nordisk (NVO.N) fell another 7%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index fell 1.82%, NIO (NIO.N) fell 4%, and Alibaba (BABA.N) fell 1.7%.🕵️ Operation suggestion:Nasdaq 100 23640.450 Buy Target Price 23843.300
Crypto
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open BitCoin ▼-0.37% 117076.3 117275.6 Ethereum ▼-0.28% 3767.4 3760.9 Dogecoin ▼-2.44% 0.21716 0.21684 📝 Review:Overall, Bitcoin bulls have a slight upper hand, currently still hovering below 118500. The key short-term observation is whether the 144 moving average on the 4-hour cycle can continue to hold; Ethereum, on the other hand, is watching the 233 moving average on the 30-minute chart. Personal view: BTC is still oscillating within the central range. Although the bulls are slightly stronger in the short term, the situation here is a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Once there is an effective breakout or breakdown, volatility will rapidly amplify. Subjectively, the risk-reward ratio for chasing long positions is no longer favorable; objectively, bottom-fishing also requires caution. It's better to wait and see, and act in line with the trend once the market direction becomes clear.🕵️ Operation suggestion:BitCoin 118200.6 Buy Target Price 119169.9
Calendar
- 20:30 (GMT+8): U.S. June PCE Price Index Year-on-Year
- 20:30 (GMT+8): U.S. June Personal Spending MoM
- 21:45 (GMT+8): US July Chicago PMI
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