📝 Review:On Monday, the US dollar index edged higher, reaching an intraday high of 98.65 during the US trading session, and ultimately closed up 0.23% at 98.46; US Treasury yields rose slightly, with the benchmark 10-year yield closing at 4.289% and the 2-year yield at 3.783%.

USD/JPY 148.127  Buy  Target Price  149.051

📝 Review:As U.S. President Trump stated that he would not impose tariffs on imported gold bars, spot gold plummeted nearly $60 during the day, briefly falling to around the $3,140 mark, and finally closed down 1.61% at $3,342.73 per ounce; spot silver closed down 1.85% at $37.60 per ounce.

Gold 3348.90  Sell  Target Price  3308.23

📝 Review:Crude oil stabilized as investors awaited this week's Trump-Putin meeting, ending a seven-day losing streak. WTI crude oil fell first and then rose, fluctuating around $63 before finally closing up 0.96% at $63.28 per barrel; Brent crude oil ultimately closed up 0.84% at $66.26 per barrel.

WTI Crude Oil 62.660  Buy  Target Price  64.496

📝 Review:The three major U.S. stock indices all fell, with the Dow closing down 0.45%, the S&P 500 down 0.25%, and the Nasdaq down 0.3%. C3.ai (AI.N) closed down 25.6%, Intel (INTC.O) rose 3.51%, and Nvidia (NVDA.O) fell 0.35%. The gold sector weakened, with Barrick Mining (B.N) closing down 2.54% and Harmony Gold (HMY.N) down 1.81%. The Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index edged down 0.29%.

Nasdaq 100 23532.750  Sell  Target Price  23290.367

📝 Review:From last night to today, Bitcoin's price trend has shown intense volatility, initially pressured by Fed policy expectations and intraday fluctuations in U.S. stocks, leading to a sharp drop that briefly tested key short-term support levels. However, it later stabilized and rebounded amid improved market sentiment and positive news. On the news front, Fed Chair Powell's hawkish stance during the press conference dampened rate-cut expectations (September rate-cut probability dropped to 41%), triggering selling pressure in U.S. stocks that spilled over to Bitcoin, creating short-term downward pressure. However, better-than-expected earnings reports from Microsoft and Meta fueled a post-market rally in U.S. stocks, with the positive sentiment spilling over into the cryptocurrency market and significantly boosting Bitcoin's rebound momentum. Technically, Bitcoin has formed a repeated oscillation pivot around $120,000–$121,000, with Bollinger Bands narrowing, intensifying short-term volatility. The RSI briefly touched oversold territory but did not sustain a downward trend, while short-term moving averages repeatedly intertwined, indicating fierce tug-of-war between bulls and bears. Key support lies in the $118,000–$119,000 range (e.g., the EMA250 support zone), and a high-volume breakdown could open further downside. However, active on-chain liquidity and stable holdings by long-term investors (exchange balances continue to decline, supporting spot ETF confidence, with long-term holdings exceeding 50%), combined with spillover optimism about the AI industry chain, have kept Bitcoin resilient overall. The market is now focused on the potential impact of tonight's U.S. economic data and institutional moves on short-term trends.

BitCoin 118648.4  Sell  Target Price  116450.4